Some veterans of the 1994 GOP takeover of Congress see worrisome parallels between then and now, in the way once-safe districts are turning into potential problems. Incumbents' poll numbers have softened. Margins against their Democratic opponents have narrowed. Republican voters appear disenchanted. The Bush effect now amounts to a drag of five percentage points or more in many districts.
The changes don't guarantee a Democratic takeover by any means, but they are creating an increasingly asymmetrical battlefield for the fall elections: The number of vulnerable Democratic districts has remained relatively constant while the number of potentially competitive Republican districts continues to climb.
Stuart Rothenberg, editor and publisher of a political newsletter, now has 42 Republican districts, including Drake's, on his list of competitive races. Last September, he had 26 competitive GOP districts, and Drake's wasn't on the list. "That's a pretty significant increase," he said. "The national atmospherics are making long shots suddenly less long."
Articles like these really do nothing to support Democrats. We are aware that the Republican Party is, like, the suxors, but that alone will not get us anywhere. I really hope that articles, which opine about Republican troubles ad nauseam, don’t give the voters the wrong idea. Republicans have their troubles, but all Democrats need to get out and vote, donate, and work to the best of their ability, or else we won’t be getting Congress this year.
Firedog Lake has another article up, highlighting some key Democratic races. The writers at FDL really seem to understand where Democrats need the most help, and I have yet to see them be wrong in any of their candidate backings.